Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.249024 0.293192 0.340183 0.393624 0.452443 0.514947 0.586124
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.191725 0.251844 0.320251 0.402752 0.498471 0.605009 0.731523
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.144400 0.212119 0.294453 0.399315 0.526768 0.674279 0.855507
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.105073 0.174255 0.264395 0.385534 0.539344 0.723745 0.957121
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.083872 0.155588 0.254959 0.394681 0.578445 0.804894 1.098003
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.062505 0.131989 0.235084 0.387123 0.594351 0.856705 1.203705
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.052713 0.123859 0.235308 0.405694 0.644055 0.951674 1.364713
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.040912 0.109517 0.224054 0.406382 0.668772 1.014382 1.485789
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.031769 0.097469 0.214382 0.407810 0.693552 1.076928 1.607213
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.025986 0.090374 0.211572 0.418709 0.731331 1.157029 1.752415
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.021797 0.085457 0.211627 0.433539 0.774704 1.245150 1.909263
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.018243 0.080906 0.211588 0.447807 0.817277 1.332673 2.066423
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.013136 0.070572 0.199706 0.442328 0.830933 1.381586 2.174477
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010073 0.064509 0.195090 0.448354 0.861796 1.454918 2.316540
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.006874 0.056023 0.184111 0.442363 0.873584 1.501206 2.422310
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.004049 0.046227 0.168338 0.426242 0.868324 1.522417 2.493466
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002961 0.042895 0.166553 0.435199 0.902898 1.601549 2.645637
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001669 0.036457 0.155973 0.426632 0.908454 1.638016 2.738471
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001333 0.035804 0.159930 0.446142 0.960499 1.743767 2.929814
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000766 0.031907 0.154503 0.446691 0.980823 1.802505 3.055287
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000405 0.028540 0.149767 0.448100 1.002363 1.863153 3.183955
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000245 0.026992 0.150022 0.459642 1.041286 1.950445 3.351476
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000155 0.026156 0.152283 0.475384 1.087651 2.049488 3.536640